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⚽ World Cup 2026

Group I — FIFA World Cup 2026

Group I is one of the marquee groups of the tournament. France, the current FIFA world number one, arrive as the second favourite in our model with a 17.5% win probability. Senegal — ranked 14th globally — are one of Africa's strongest sides. Norway make a rare World Cup appearance, while Iraq face the biggest challenge of the group stage.

Fixtures & Results

All times UTC

Tuesday 16 June

Analysis →22:00 UTC

Monday 22 June

Tuesday 23 June

Friday 26 June

Analysis →19:00 UTC

Group I Standings

	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Norway	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3	W
2	France	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3	W
3	Senegal	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	L
4	Iraq	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	L

Group Insights

Pre-Tournament Outlook

Team Qualify SF Win

96% 42.6% 18.0%

84% 12.5% 1.8%

58% 2.5% 0.4%

36% 0.3% 0.0%

Pre-Tournament Performance

WWWLW

LWWLD

WLDWD

LWWDL

Prior WC Performance

TeamPlayedWin Rate

7353%

1242%

825%

30%

Betting Insights

Match Competitiveness

1.66

Avg Favourite Odds

Tight Matches: 0% where favourite odds were 2.00+

Market Performance

Model Pick

+36.5%

Mkt Fav

+36.5%

Underdog

-100.0%

Draw

-100.0%

Flat-stake ROI across 2 group matches (bookmaker odds)

Favourites vs Underdogs

Fav 100% Draw 0% Underdog 0%

Favourites dominant even matchups excluded

Common Scorelines

3–1

50%

1–4

50%

Goals Profile

Over 1.5 goals

100%

Over 2.5 goals

100%

Over 3.5 goals

100%

Avg goals/game: 4.5

High Scoring

Biggest Upsets

No upsets at 3.0+ yet.

Player Stats

⚽ Top Scorers

Player	Team	Goals
Kylian Mbappé	France	2
E. Haaland	Norway	2
B. Barcola	France	1
I. Mbaye	Senegal	1
L. Østigård	Norway	1

🎯 Top Assists

No data yet — updates once group matches kick off.

🟨 Most Booked

No data yet — updates once group matches kick off.

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