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Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Head-to-Head — FIFA World Cup 2026

⚽ Group Stage, Match 1
Friday 12 June 2026  ·  19:00 UTC  ·  BMO Field, Toronto

Match Report

Match Events ?
11'🟨Alistair Johnston Canada
21'Jovo Lukić (Sead Kolašinac)Bosnia & Herzegovina
44'🟨Ermedin Demirović Bosnia & Herzegovina
45'🟨Jovo Lukić Bosnia & Herzegovina
53'🟨Luc De Fougerolles Canada
78'Cyle Larin (Promise David)Canada
90'🟨Nikola Katić Bosnia & Herzegovina
Match Statistics ?
Canada
Bosnia & Herzegovina
61%
Possession
39%
4
Shots on Target
3
13
Total Shots
8
9
Corners
4
10
Fouls
20
1.25
xG
0.98
Player Ratings ?
Canada
7.9Richie LaryeaD
7.2Stephen EustaquioM
7.0Alistair JohnstonD
Bosnia & Herzegovina
8.2Nikola KatićD
8.0Sead KolašinacD
7.6Tarik MuharemovićD
Starting Lineups ?
Canada · 4-4-2
16GMaxime Crépeau
2DAlistair Johnston
4DLuc De Fougerolles
13DDerek Cornelius
22DRichie Laryea
17MTajon Buchanan
8MIsmael Koné
7MStephen Eustaquio
11MLiam Millar
10FJonathan David
12FTani Oluwaseyi
Bosnia & Herzegovina · 4-4-2
1GNikola Vasilj
7DAmar Dedić
18DNikola Katić
4DTarik Muharemović
5DSead Kolašinac
20MEsmir Bajraktarević
6MBenjamin Tahirović
13MIvan Bašić
15MAmar Memić
10FErmedin Demirović
25FJovo Lukić

Predictions

Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Canada
Expected: Canada by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
Canada 61%Draw 23%Bosnia & Herzegovina 15%
xG: 1.73Expected goalsxG: 0.72

Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina looks like a Canada-favoured matchup based on our pre-tournament model. Canada holds a slight edge according to our model, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Win Probability (Market) ?
53%
Canada to Win
Home: 53%  Draw: 27%  Away: 20%
Model Rating Edge ?
Slight Edge
Canada stronger
Canada: 1466 (#30)  ·  Bosnia & Herzegovina: 1338 (#43)
H2H Record ?
No data
Equal
First ever meeting
Canada
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#2
Position ?
#4
1
Points ?
1
0W 1D 0L
Record ?
0W 1D 0L
1
Goals For ?
1
1
Goals Against ?
1
0
Goal Diff
0
#30
FIFA Rank ?
#65
0.1%
Win Prob ?
0.0%
D
Form ?
D

Head-to-Head History

Previous World Cup Meetings
No previous meetings found in our data.
Last 0 Meetings (All Competitions)
No previous meetings found in our data.
💡 Betting Angles
Key Angles for this Match
🎯Clear model favourite: Canada at 61% win probability.
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